The Economist’s forecast model suggests that the state—with its 19 electoral-college votes, the most of any swing state—is the tipping-point in 27% of the model’s updated simulations, meaning it decides the election more often than any other state.

Pennsylvania likely to hold key to outcome of presidential election, with latest poll of likely voters showing 48% for Harris and 47% for Trump

A significant majority of Pennsylvanians believe Harris outperformed Trump in the debate, but the contest does not appear to have impacted the race.