WRAL has been using ensemble forecasts to put together our snow forecasts behind the scenes for years. Now, WRAL has the exclusive ability to show you that data on TV. Let's take this weekend for ...

An ensemble forecast is a predictive methodology in which multiple simulations of a system, typically using numerical models, are generated by varying initial conditions, model physics, or ...

You may or may not be familiar with the term "Global Ensemble Forecast System," or GEFS. It sounds quite technical, so here's what you need to know: This upgrade will ...

NOAA’s Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) is undergoing significant upgrades to expand its capabilities and improve weather forecasting. Meteorologists at the National Weather Service use GEFS to ...

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting plays a significant role in the early warning of extreme weather events and disaster risk prevention, but its predictive capability remains limited. Extreme ...

In a recent study published in Science China Earth Sciences, a team of researchers proposed using an orthogonal conditional ...

Abstract. We present a nonparametric approach based on local polynomial regression for ensemble forecast of time series. The state space is first reconstructed by embedding the univariate time series ...