Iran, global recession
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Moody’s Zandi warns U.S. recession odds near 50% as Iran conflict lifts oil prices, fueling inflation fears and weak data—get the latest economic
Wall Street veteran Jim Paulsen said tech is the only bright spot in the economy, comparing the bifurcation to the Mag 7 vs. the rest of the S&P 500.
Top economist David Rosenberg sees a "very significant" US recession once fiscal stimulus dries up and AI-related capex starts to wane.
Data from prediction market platform Kalshi shows the implied probability of the United States entering a recession this year has climbed to roughly 35.3%. That represents a notable increase from late February, when the odds stood near 21.6% just before hostilities between the United States and Iran kicked off.
Prediction market bettors are increasingly expecting the U.S. economy to enter a recession.
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Oil, Iran, and the recession question
Range reports that while oil shocks can impact recessions, current economic indicators suggest we aren’t on that path yet.
Tesla sells cars -- and the auto industry is notoriously cyclical. But Tesla's structure and long-term strategy may give it more resilience than its peers.
Economists warn that the war has increased the risk of a recession. And the longer the crisis lasts, the greater the danger to an economy that already looked vulnerable before the chaos in the Middle East.
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Recession-proof checks: 4 elite dividend payers that thrive even when the economy is in shambles
When markets crack and economic headlines turn grim, most investors scramble for the exits. Yet a select group of companies keeps writing checks - raising them, even - no matter what chaos surrounds them.
When the economy slows, consumers often trade down to value retailers like Walmart. But does that make the stock truly recession-proof?
The chances of the United States going into a recession have risen, reflecting growing concerns regarding economic fallout from geopolitical uncertainty, rising oil prices and slowed job growth. Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month recession probability to 25 percent after a weak February jobs report and rising oil prices, according to reports.